Bright SEO career prospects could dim

 

Summary

Job prospects in search engine optimization are rosy, but the situation could change 10 years down the road, says Web usability guru Jakob Nielsen.

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Q. I would like to ask for your advice on the career prospects for search engine marketing or optimization.

Career advice from Jakob Nielsen, principal of Nielsen Norman Group:
A. In the short term--say, five years--I see great potential for jobs in search engine marketing (SEM) and search engine optimization (SEO). However, I am a bit more skeptical about the long-term prospects for these fields, looking ahead 10 years, but it should be possible to use a job in SEM/SEO as a springboard to a more senior position in Internet marketing or user experience.

Next 5 years: I am optimistic for two reasons:

  • Search is the main way customers locate a new Web site. In one of our studies, we gave users a task to perform on the Internet but didn't specify what Web sites they were supposed to use. In this scenario, 88 percent of users went straight to their favorite search engine and used it to find sites to solve their problem. Furthermore, users almost never went to the second page of search results. Combining these two observations leads to the conclusion that you have to be on the first page of results for popular queries in your business, or you will never get any new customers from your Web site.
  • Despite the importance of search, most Internet marketers continue to be clueless about how to perform well in search engines. One of the most important guidelines for writing for the Web is to employ the users' terminology, because you won't be found unless your page contains the keywords people are searching for. This advice is 10 years old, and most marketers persist in using made-up terms that may sound fancy, but which nobody searches for.

Web sites need SEO consultants to save themselves from their own stupidities. Whenever a site gets a good SEO workover, traffic invariably explodes, because the site all of a sudden starts showing up when customers search for what offers. Even the best optimization can't always get a site on page 1 for the most competitive keywords, and that's where search engine advertising comes in. Again, most advertising agencies are clueless when it comes to designing a 15-word ad that can't contain any graphics.

Search ads are the best form of advertising on the Web because people go to search engines to find a place to go and because any given ad is only shown when people search for the exact keyword that it relates to.

10 years from now: I am pessimistic about the long-term prospects for SEO jobs, because the basics of search engine optimization are fairly simple and ought to be part of the core competency of anybody who makes a living in Web design, Internet marketing, or writing for the Web. You shouldn't need a special consultant to make a Web site that follows simple guidelines. Of course, I have been trying to teach people to write for the Web for 10 years already, ever since we discovered the main guidelines in 1997. And most sites still get it wrong. So maybe I am wrong when I predict that Internet marketers will stop being clueless in 10 years. In any case, even if most sites eventually learn how to do their own SEO, it will be good for your career to have spent several years working with the most effective component of Internet marketing. You will be able to broaden your scope and take on other duties, based on your evolving knowledge of what works on the Web and what customers want (they want what they search for!).

Career advice from John Brand, research director, Hydrasight:
A. The career prospects are good for search engine marketing/optimization, if you don't mind being in the middle of a never-ending arms race. Everyone wants--and needs--their online initiatives to be seen and heard above the general din, but it's hard to keep raising everybody to the top of the pile. Somebody inevitably has to be at the bottom of any list. So, as much as you can learn the complete in's and out's of individual search engines in order to exploit their algorithms and marketing programs, a whole bunch of other organizations and individuals are also trying to do the same. There's the rub. Plenty of people can make a tidy packet out of not getting everyone to the top of the list. There are plenty of organizations out there today that are having piles of cash extracted from them on the promise of a "0.5 percent increase in relevance ranking". If finding or creating a valuable niche might be something that appeals to your creative side, then SEM/SEO might not be entirely for you. If, however, you get a thrill out of "squeezing another 150km out of the smell of an oily rag" then you've probably picked the right game.

Talkback

Next 5 years are very competitive for all sites, Natural search engine optimization service in demanding.

Pavan S. October 24, 2007

Get the right job

Great post, thanks for the information, I had great luck finding a New Career at http://www.careermatches.org/index.php?id=New

Jhon October 28, 2008

In my view, for those that can create intelligent, high-value content, the business prospects for SEO services are likely promising for some time, perhaps beyond the window referenced in the article. Many marketers and other professionals it seems have difficulty writing (period), let alone writing for search engines. As search engine algorithms get smarter, the 'best' sites might actually begin to rank highest more consistently. If best is defined as highest value content, there is no foreseeable horizon in terms of need for content. If search engines were really advanced, no one would be thinking in terms of SEO/SEM, they'd be thinking of how to make their sites and associated content more useful and therefore valuable. Hopefully search engine technologies will continue to progress and as a result align interests in support of this goal.

Ron McCoy October 25, 2007

I agree with Ron. If you're good, they will come. SEO practices have the highest ROI for sites that are just starting out and need that boost to get noticed. Once a site matures, it's good content and user experience that will somehow register on the secret algorithms and keep you on the top ranks of search engines.

Kiren Lang October 31, 2007

There is something called as Advanced SEO

I do not fully agree with what is being talked about in SEO world regarding the short career prospects of a consultant. When we talk SEO on the web world normally its only the surface that is being scratched. Those few elements like Title Tags, Alt Tags, Writing a good copy, folder names, url names, etc. These are only the first step of SEO.

If a web developer really wants to succed and survive the competition, there is more than he sees on the surface. SEO is direct communication with the crawler. You need to talk with the Crawler in terms of Information Architecture, Good navigation design, Linking techniques and there is more to it. This is where the consultant comes into picture and rescues the company. And if you get into the details of IA there is much proficiency and time required. This is just one aspect that I am talking about.

Chandan Sharma March 27, 2008

Change the rules

I completely agree with you as i am an aspiring professional in this field and was seeking some professional advice, i just landed on this article, which claims the future of the SEO, it's right that as any other business like <a href="http://www.forexfloor.com" target="_blank">forex currency trading</a> or manufacturing. It's all depend to us where we want to take it and how?

Akshay Verma July 24, 2008

SEO Will Eventually Become Ineffective

I agree that SEO will likely see a surge in business over the next 5 years and a decline after that. However, I disagree as to the reason for the decline. I don't think the decline will be due to skilled web designers but rather due to the ineffectiveness of SEO. Given that search is a very competitive (and crowded) place it will only get worse when the number of optimized websites increases over time. This will lead to an increase in competition that will mean fewer and fewer visitors for optimized sites, in return decreasing the value of SEO. If in 5 years an optimized site can't guarantee a surge in traffic then SEO consultants can no longer demand their exorbitant fees. The end user will still be happy since he can find what he's looking for on Google. However, websites will become frustrated with Google/SEO and look for alternative internet marketing techniques. - Tom @ TOKiBiz

Tom O'Keefe April 1, 2008

Agreed

I certainly agree. The SEO product is easily replicable. It's impossible for all companies to sit in the top 10 throughout the world. I imagine there will be a tendancy for Google to start taking into account physical knowledge (size, industry, success) about companies not just the web knowledge that SE's can currently utilise.

Eoin June 3, 2008

Hrm

Logically speaking, if things of this level were basic competency issues, Jakob would have to say these things one time and it would be done. The fact is, many designers still don't follow basic accessibility, design and validation rules... And I'm expected to believe they'll follow serious SEO ones?

If people were that reliable with this stuff Nielsen wouldn't even have a job in 10 years either.

Tony October 23, 2008

the SEO now will be different from the SEO in future

Personally, I believe that the good SEO companies will put more focus on clients' business processes and models and identify the real target customers and to understand site visitors (customers' behaviour) and off course on the rich and authorative content.

There will also come a time when SEO fee is paid by performance with traffic, conversion, sales and cost reductions measurements. SEO may also move from the Web to mobile applications.

The the best SEO professionals can survive the industry. I do agree that basics of SEO will one day become part of the core competency for any development on the Web. On page optimization is kinda of straight forward and most useful tips and techniques are readily available on the Web. So I believe the real SEO is about the business processes, off page optimization and also off line marketing.

bizengine April 27, 2008

Agreed

I certainly agree. The SEO product is easily replicable. It's impossible for all companies to sit in the top 10 throughout the world. I imagine there will be a tendancy for Google to start taking into account physical knowledge (size, industry, success) about companies not just the web knowledge that SE's can currently utilise.

Eoin June 3, 2008

January 1, 1970

Hrm

Logically speaking, if things of this level were basic competency issues, Jakob would have to say these things one time and it would be done. The fact is, many designers still don't follow basic accessibility, design and validation rules... And I'm expected to believe they'll follow serious SEO ones?

If people were that reliable with this stuff Nielsen wouldn't even have a job in 10 years either.

Tony October 23, 2008

Change the rules

I completely agree with you as i am an aspiring professional in this field and was seeking some professional advice, i just landed on this article, which claims the future of the SEO, it's right that as any other business like <a href="http://www.forexfloor.com" target="_blank">forex currency trading</a> or manufacturing. It's all depend to us where we want to take it and how?

Akshay Verma July 24, 2008

Hrm

Logically speaking, if things of this level were basic competency issues, Jakob would have to say these things one time and it would be done. The fact is, many designers still don't follow basic accessibility, design and validation rules... And I'm expected to believe they'll follow serious SEO ones?

If people were that reliable with this stuff Nielsen wouldn't even have a job in 10 years either.

Tony October 23, 2008

Get the right job

Great post, thanks for the information, I had great luck finding a New Career at http://www.careermatches.org/index.php?id=New

Jhon October 28, 2008

Bright SEO career prospects could dim

True said that many people have their favorite search engine and if they are having problem they go to that search engine. These websites should focus more on the first page so that people can get more information regarding their problems.

Cynthia kurtz
<a rel="dofollow" href="http://www.widecircles.com" rel="dofollow">seo</a>

cynthia March 28, 2009

Bright SEO career prospects could dim

True said that many people have their favorite search engine and if they are having problem they go to that search engine. These websites should focus more on the first page so that people can get more information regarding their problems.

Cynthia kurtz
<a href="http://www.widecircles.com" onclick="javascript:urchinTracker('/outbound/http://www.widecircles.com');">SEO</a>

cynthia March 28, 2009

Bright SEO career prospects could dim

True said that many people have their favorite search engine and if they are having problem they go to that search engine. These websites should focus more on the first page so that people can get more information regarding their problems.
Cynthia kurtz
http://www.widecircles.com----SEO

cynthia March 28, 2009

Learning Internet Marketing -- The Future?

Hi,

I remember when the Internet was all text. So it's hard to predict the future.

But coming from the viewpoint of someone who helps small business owners use the Internet to get business, I can't see the demand diminishing. The reason is that small business website owners just don't have time.

They're going to turn to experts not just for seo help but also for help learning Internet marketing strategies and performing Internet promotions tasks.

I expect the demand to be greater than the supply because doing seo work isn't exciting, sexy or fun.. It's a big repetitious and boring compared to web 2.0, online video and all the other possibilities.

So I think it's a decent bet to say that the prospects won't dim too much, although I think the article brings up good points.

Marlon Sanders -- marlonsnews.com March 29, 2009

RE: Bright SEO career prospects could dim

<a href=Http://www.sem-advance.com" rel="dofollow">SEO</a> is definitely not going to dim in the future, however it will morph into a more specialty field with those who can only do SEO for very long tail keywords disappearing. Which in all reality cannot happen soon enought.

Seo Pimp June 7, 2009

Learning Internet Marketing -- The Future?

Hi,

I remember when the Internet was all text. So it's hard to predict the future.

But coming from the viewpoint of someone who helps small business owners use the Internet to get business, I can't see the demand diminishing. The reason is that small business website owners just don't have time.

They're going to turn to experts not just for seo help but also for help learning Internet marketing strategies and performing Internet promotions tasks.

I expect the demand to be greater than the supply because doing seo work isn't exciting, sexy or fun.. It's a big repetitious and boring compared to web 2.0, online video and all the other possibilities.

So I think it's a decent bet to say that the prospects won't dim too much, although I think the article brings up good points.

Marlon Sanders -- marlonsnews.com March 29, 2009

RE: Bright SEO career prospects could dim

<a href=Http://www.sem-advance.com" rel="dofollow">SEO</a> is definitely not going to dim in the future, however it will morph into a more specialty field with those who can only do SEO for very long tail keywords disappearing. Which in all reality cannot happen soon enought.

Seo Pimp June 7, 2009

Lets not forget that things change

Having been an IT professional for some 27 years now I have seen a few changes happen in the IT world. The thing to remember SEO will change and the need for good <a href="http://www.seo-magic-webs.com">SEO</a> consultants will continue. Yes the market will settle out as it always does and in the shake up the cowboys disappear.

Google is always on the move and it is moving away already from flat results. even now it playing with new search result tools such as the Wonder wheel ... So because of all the changes I recon there will be plenty of work for good pro's who can keep up.

David Anttony October 19, 2009

Bright SEO career prospects could dim

I do not see the SEO career graph going down at all, but I do expect some stability in the market. Currently the SEO industry is abused a lot by link builders and individuals who believe that submitting websites to directories and link exchange is SEO. I do see that very soon, people with such ideologies will be out of business for sure and that is good for other SEO' who work really hard for organic results.

According to me other forms or marketing like Print, Television and Radio are too expensive for small enterprises for long term efforts. In that case SEO is the only medium which is cheap, effective and sustainable and at the same time it also helps in the brand building efforts. Check out http://bit.ly/5LKn20.

Keep up the good work SEO's and help your customers get customers.

Pulkit Agrawal November 30, 2009

Bright SEO career prospects could dim

"I am pessimistic about the long-term prospects for SEO jobs, because the basics of search engine optimization are fairly simple and ought to be part of the core competency of anybody who makes a living in Web design, Internet marketing, or writing for the Web."

The basics of usability are also fairly simple (just read through the useit site), and usability should also be part of the core competency. Therefore, career prospects for usability specialists isn't great either.

Peter February 13, 2010

I’ve been visiting your blog for a while now and I always find a gem in your new posts. Thanks for sharing.

Fotki June 2, 2010
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