Dell's retail play will take time

By Eileen Yu, ZDNet Asia
Friday, July 20, 2007 10:33 AM

news analysis The recent move by Dell Computer to finally dip into the retail market is deemed strategically necessary for the company to see success in Asia. However, industry observers say it will take at least a year before the PC maker sees any results, and it is not a gameplay Dell can rush along.

Earlier this month, the company broke a 23-year tradition when it unveiled plans to sell its products at retail outfits across the Asia-Pacific region.

The announcement is significant for a company that had long marketed itself as the golden child of a direct sales model.

According to analysts ZDNet Asia spoke to, it was a move that was inevitable particularly in the Asia-Pacific region, where consumers like to physically handle a product before they buy it.

Bryan Ma, IDC's Asia-Pacific director of personal systems research, described the move as "necessary" because Dell was often criticized for pushing its direct model in a region where consumers prefer to "feel and touch" their products and pay in cash.

"[The direct model] worked very well for them in the past because the bulk of their business has been in the enterprise and public sectors," Ma explained. However, Dell has had limited success in the Asia-Pacific consumer market, where its lack of physical retail presence was a disadvantage particularly against competitors such as Hewlett-Packard (HP) and Acer.

Fast facts on Dell's market share
According to figures from IDC, Lenovo led the overall Asia-Pacific PC market, including Japan, with a 16 percent share in 2006. HP was ranked second with 11 percent market share, followed by Dell in third position with 10 percent market share. In the first quarter of 2007, Dell's market share stood at 9 percent, compared to HP's 13.5 percent.
Dell's standings dropped further in the consumer PC market, where it ranked only in fifth position with 4.5 market share in 2006, IDC figure found. In contrast, Lenovo remained the leader with 12 percent share of the consumer PC market last year, followed by HP (9.4 percent), Acer (6 percent) and Toshiba (5 percent).


    Diptarup Chakraborti, Gartner India's principal analyst of Asia-Pacific client computing markets, said Dell has been facing some resistance from users who do not buy or make advance payments for expensive products such as a notebook, without first seeing the product. Chakraborti noted that this has compelled Dell to change its strategy and enter the retail space.

    In addition, Ma noted that a lot of growth in the last few years had centered on the consumer market, with Acer and HP gaining a fair bit of market from their notebook shipments. "That's where Dell has been left out of the game, so this decision is a good step forward," he said.

    Chakraborti added that the PC maker has been "toying" with the possibility of going indirect for a long time, and the wakeup call came when it lost its leading position to HP.

    In a phone interview with ZDNet Asia, Paul-Henri Ferrand, Dell's president of Asia Pacific South, acknowledged the company "may have overlooked" some areas in the past, including the consumer and SMB (small and midsize business) market segments, but it is now seeking to address these gaps.

    He said the company is placed 34th on the Fortune 500 list and remains profitable today, amassing a fortune worth US$12.3 billion in cash and investments. The company is "number 1 where it matters", such as its leadership position in the global large-size business market with a 31 percent share, Ferrand said. He added that Dell has always been focused on growing its corporate business, where 85 percent of its revenues come from businesses.

    While the PC manufacturer recognized it has had a challenging last few quarters, Ferrnad stressed that Dell is unconcerned about how its competition are doing in the market, and is instead focused on how it can improve its customer proposition.

    "Consumers is a market by itself... We recognize that while we have been delivering products to consumers, we never had the strategy or organization to go after this market," he said.

    Dell has since formed a global consumer business unit to ensure its resources are "aligned to serve consumers", he noted. "Right now, everything will revolve around consumer behavior and so on."

    He added that Michael Dell's return to the helm helped spark the recognition that the company needed to have a bigger presence in this market segment.

    Indirect inexperience will show
    Chakraborti said: "This move [toward an indirect model] does not reflect negatively on Dell as it shows the organization has the gumption to recognize their weakness and take steps to correct the same.

    "However, the fact that Dell has no experience in channels and with some really stiff competitors in Lenovo, HP and Acer in the market, Dell will have to be really innovative if they [want] to win back market share," he said.

    IDC's Ma agreed, adding that the challenge the company faces lies in its lack of retail expertise compared to an old-hand such as HP.

    "HP is so well-entrenched... It'll be a slow-going process for Dell, and they will have to learn from their mistakes," he said, noting that it will take at least another year or more for Dell to figure it out.

    Chakraborti warned though that it will need to take a gradual approach in implementing its channel strategy to avoid failure, which will hurt the company more than its absence in the reseller market.

    "Dell should be cautious in its retail venture and take a step-by-step approach, rather than do everything at the same time," he said. "[Its] competition will leave no stone unturned to make Dell fail in this venture, and Dell should be guarded against this."

    Its archrival HP, appears ready to meet the challenge. With Dell's impending move to adopt the indirect sales model, running on a channel strategy may no longer be HP's differentiator.

    In spite of this, the current PC market leader seems unfazed.

    Dennis Mark, vice president of marketing for SMB and TQS (total quality service), HP Asia-Pacific's personal systems group, said the company feels "vindicated" when its competitors start looking at indirect and retail channels because this demonstrates HP's strategy to offer customers "choice of channel, products and solutions was the right one".

    "Partnering is in our DNA," Mark said, adding that HP has over 40,000 channel partners in the Asia-Pacific region and 250,000 channel partners worldwide. This network allows both enterprise customers and consumers to buy HP's products through a channel partner, online or retail shops, he said.

    Unperturbed by Dell's pending onslaught, Mark said HP believes its "most complete" channel network will become "an even bigger differentiator" for the company.

    He noted that the company is already in 420 cities in China, and will be looking to increase this number to 600 over the next few quarters. HP is also present in 425 cities in India, and is targeting to up the number to 525 in the next few quarters, he added.

    Mark further described the company as "streets ahead of competition" in terms of its partner network and customer support.

    "We feel great about our current [market] position globally, as well as in the Asia-Pacific region," he added. "Over last year, HP broke away from the competition...on the back of


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