"While Solaris...currently dominates Oracle sites, it will be sharing that top spot with Linux within the next 12 months," according to the study from the publishers of Database Trends and Applications. The study projected that the 49 percent using Solaris now will drop to 43 percent by January 2007, while Linux will increase from 37 percent to 44 percent.
The x86 push does distinguish Solaris from its Unix rivals: IBM's AIX and Hewlett-Packard's HP-UX. Whereas Sun is aiming for mass usage on x86, those companies are focused on making their Unix products chiefly for expensive, high-end multiprocessor servers, Iams said.
"IBM and HP are mostly concerned about hanging onto their own users, protecting their base," he said.
The next waves of updates to Solaris will come in June and then again by the end of 2006. For years, Sun has released a revamp once per quarter--the pace for Red Hat Enterprise Linux--but now believes a rate half that fast is more practical, Ulander said.
"Six months is easier on our developers and more in line with what customers are expecting from our release cycle," Ulander said. "They want a regular cadence, but not necessarily a cadence that hits so fast that it doesn't give them time to get up to speed."
New Solaris features
Joining x86 predictive self-healing in June
will be Solaris 10 Trusted Extensions. Previously, Sun had a separate version of
Solaris geared to high-security environments, such as government intelligence
agencies. The change to the extensions approach will bring those security
features to ordinary Solaris.
The addition of ZFS storage technology also is scheduled for delivery in June, having suffered two delays. It can address vastly larger quantities of data than the current Unix File System (UFS) technology, can better protect against data corruption during transfer, and can make it simpler to create large pools of storage systems shared by many servers, according to Sun.
ZFS, which controls how information is written and read from storage systems has potential, Iams said. But to really be useful, he added, it must be integrated with management software that can use it to automatically adjust storage systems. Solaris computers won't boot from ZFS file systems until the end-of-year update, Ulander said.
Two x86 virtualization features are due in the Solaris update coming by the end of the year. One is support for Xen, "hypervisor" software that makes it possible to run multiple operating systems simultaneously, in separate "virtual machines." These operating systems include Linux, Windows, Solaris, NetBSD and, eventually, NetWare.
The other is BrandZ, or Branded Zones. In essence, this gives a Solaris computer the ability to run software written for Linux in separate compartments, called containers. Sun initially planned to release the software earlier, in a project code-named Janus. But customers weren't happy with that technology's requirement that the Linux applications run side-by-side with Solaris applications, instead of in the separate containers.
Iams believes Xen will prove more compelling for most customers. "Why would they come out with a proprietary mechanism, if they can just use Xen?" he asked. "I see the standard going in the Xen direction."
Another feature, CrossBow, is designed to improve networking. The first phase, due in June and called SoftRings, shares the burden of monitoring high-speed networking gear among multiple processors. That makes it easier for Solaris to keep up with the coming generation of 10-gigabit-per-second networks, Ulander said.
The second CrossBow phase, due by the end of the year, uses virtualized networking. That enables administrators to assign capacity to particular virtual machines or to networking services, such as serving up Web pages, Ulander said.
Another feature, Yosemite, will improve one type of networking called User Datagram Protocol, which is often used to send messages across conventional Internet Protocol networks. Applications such as Tibco Rendezvous get a 15 percent to 20 percent performance boost out of it, Sun said.
Sun also plans several improvements to the DTrace monitoring tool, which lets administrators investigate performance issues in running programs. New versions of DTrace will be able to monitor NFS (Network File System) data transfers; isolate its scope to software running only in one container or run by a particular user; and do a better job of scrutinizing higher-level software written using Java, PHP, Ruby, Python and Perl, according to the company.
All the development work has brought around some skeptics. Solaris' future earlier appeared "not bleak, (but) increasingly niche and high-end," RedMonk analyst Stephen O'Grady wrote in a March blog posting. Now, having seen the fruits of technology development and the open-source work, he's more enthusiastic.
"I'm fairly positive on the prospects for Solaris," O'Grady wrote. "It's really made remarkable strides in a short period of time."
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